Recurrence Plots and Cross Recurrence Plots

Harbin Gongye Daxue Xuebao/ Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology, 47(10), 70–75p. (2015) DOI:10.11918/j.issn.0367-6234.2015.10.015

Two-stage extraction method for flight delay pattern

For the problem of severer flight delays, based on the relative research achievements in domestic and aboard, this paper proposes a two-stage method for extracting flight delay patterns. Firstly, this method uses the phase-space reconstruction theory and Recurrence Plot to analyze the chaotic characteristics of flight delay rate. Then, after acquiring the delay time subsequences, the Recursive Quantitative Analysis and K-means Clustering technology were used to extract flight delay patterns, and the characteristics of time-varying of flight delay patterns were analyzed. Finally, the example verifies this method can not only effectively extract flight delay patterns, but also can get the time-varying characteristics of the patterns. The result provides managerial and decisive reference of prediction and warning of flight delay for airports and airlines.